The 2025 NFL playoffs are set to feature the top-seeded Kansas City Chiefs facing off against the fourth-seeded Houston Texans in the Divisional Round this Saturday. The Chiefs concluded the regular season with an impressive 15-2 record, securing the top seed and a first-round bye. In contrast, the Texans achieved a decisive victory over the Los Angeles Chargers, winning 32-12 during Wild Card Weekend. These two teams previously met in Week 16, where Kansas City emerged victorious with a score of 27-19. The winner of this matchup will advance to the AFC Championship Game to compete against either the Buffalo Bills or the Baltimore Ravens. Notably, Texans running back Joe Mixon is expected to play despite dealing with an ankle injury.
Kickoff is scheduled for 4:30 p.m. ET at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City. The Chiefs are currently favored by 8.5 points according to the latest odds from SportsLine Consensus, with the over/under set at 41.5 total points. Kansas City holds a money-line advantage at -503 (bet $503 to win $100), while Houston is listed as +379 underdogs (bet $100 to win $379). Before making any picks, bets, or predictions regarding the Chiefs vs. Texans game, it is advisable to consult insights from SportsLine NFL expert Larry Hartstein, known for his expertise in Chiefs-related picks.
The 2025 NFL playoffs are set to feature the top-seeded Kansas City Chiefs facing off against the fourth-seeded Houston Texans in the Divisional Round this Saturday. The Chiefs concluded the regular season with an impressive 15-2 record, securing the top seed and a first-round bye. In contrast, the Texans achieved a decisive victory over the Los Angeles Chargers, winning 32-12 during Wild Card Weekend. These two teams previously met in Week 16, where Kansas City emerged victorious with a score of 27-19. The winner of this matchup will advance to the AFC Championship Game to compete against either the Buffalo Bills or the Baltimore Ravens. Notably, Texans running back Joe Mixon is expected to play despite dealing with an ankle injury.
Kickoff is scheduled for 4:30 p.m. ET at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City. The Chiefs are currently favored by 8.5 points according to the latest odds from SportsLine Consensus, with the over/under set at 41.5 total points. Kansas City holds a money-line advantage at -503 (bet $503 to win $100), while Houston is listed as +379 underdogs (bet $100 to win $379). Before making any decisions on picks, bets, or predictions for the Chiefs vs. Texans game, it is advisable to consider insights from SportsLine NFL expert Larry Hartstein, who has a strong track record with Chiefs-related picks.
Hartstein, a former lead writer for Covers and The Linemakers, leverages a broad network of Vegas contacts along with an analytical perspective developed during his time at Pro Football Focus. He achieved a notable 52nd place finish out of 1,598 entries in the 2022 Westgate Las Vegas SuperContest, with a record of 53-34-3 against the spread. His weekly selections for the Vegas contest serve as the foundation for his NFL best bets column, which boasts a record of 79-48-2 (62.2%, +25.95 units) since its launch in 2022. Additionally, he has an impressive 30-14 (+1302) record on his last 44 NFL picks involving the Chiefs, providing substantial returns for those following his advice on sportsbooks and betting apps.
Currently, Hartstein has focused his analysis on the Chiefs vs. Texans matchup. For his expert picks, visit SportsLine. Here are the NFL odds and betting lines for the Chiefs vs. Texans game:
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Houston Texans spread: Kansas City favored by 8.5 points
Over/under for Chiefs vs. Texans: 41.5 points
Money line for Chiefs vs. Texans: Kansas City -503, Houston +379
Houston Texans: 8-8-2 against the spread this season
Kansas City Chiefs: 8-9 against the spread this season
For picks on Chiefs vs. Texans, visit SportsLine Streaming options for Chiefs vs. Texans: Available on FuboTV (free trial offered).
The Texans' potential to cover the spread is bolstered by several key factors:
Quarterback C.J. Stroud has achieved two postseason victories in his first two years as a starter. This season, he amassed 3,727 passing yards and threw 20 touchdown passes. In the recent victory against the Chargers, Stroud completed 22 of 33 attempts for 282 yards and one touchdown, while also contributing 42 rushing yards. Nico Collins stands out as the primary receiving threat for the Texans, demonstrating his ability to excel at all levels of the field. During the Wild Card victory, Collins recorded seven receptions for 122 yards and a touchdown. Additionally, running back Joe Mixon, who is currently listed as questionable, has been a significant contributor, finishing the season with 1,016 rushing yards and 11 touchdowns. In his most recent game, the 28-year-old rushed for 106 yards and scored a touchdown. For insights on whom to support, visit SportsLine.
The Chiefs have a strong chance to cover:
The Chiefs have a strong chance to cover the spread due to the leadership of quarterback Patrick Mahomes, who has led the team to the playoffs for seven consecutive seasons. Throughout his 18 playoff appearances, Mahomes has achieved a remarkable completion rate of 76%, accumulating 5,135 passing yards, 41 touchdown passes, and only eight interceptions. Additionally, he boasts an impressive record of 12 wins and 2 losses as a starter at Arrowhead Stadium during the NFL playoffs.
Tight end Travis Kelce adds another dependable playoff asset for Kansas City. He holds the record for the most receptions in postseason history with 165, while ranking second in both receiving yards with 1,903 and touchdowns with 19. Receiver Xavier Worthy offers the Chiefs a dynamic and swift option when he has the ball. In 2024, Worthy recorded 59 receptions for 638 yards and six touchdowns, and he has surpassed 40 receiving yards in seven consecutive games.
